There is a need for getting past wishful thinking and to do real analysis. While most Arab states are openly buttressing Israel, Iran's actions at times effectively enable Israel's criminality.
I take your point that Israel is getting away with genocide, so it's hard to argue that they're "collapsing". But I think the argument your detractors are making is that their mask of civility and liberalism is gone -- a mask that they have invested heavily in maintaining over the decades. It could very well be the catalyst that ultimately leads to their collapse, though things are bleak at the moment.
Whether Iran had launched "True Promise" in May or in April, I don't think it would have made a difference in whether the $26 billion package passed. Congress had been whipped up into a frenzy of pro-Israel zeolotry so that would have likely passed regardless.
"True Promise 1", if I'm not mistaken, included the use of several hypersonic missiles. "True Promise 2" was mostly, if not exclusively, hypersonic missiles.
Do you have any analysis of the Raisi helicopter crash (assassination) and how that may have factored in to Iranian calculations?
WRT Israel's nukes, I agree with you 100%. A state openly commiting genocide in front of the world with zero restraint would have no hesitation about using nuclear weapons. In fact, they may already have. Have you looked through the claims of @Ben68638515. He is arguing that the attack on Tartus is characteristic of a small nuclear bomb.
Thanks. To the extent that the mask is off for Israel, it's the result of protests, media, education and legal efforts like the South Africa case. Not bc of rhetoric or action from Iran. I do think I've heard this "mask is off" stuff before, after invasions of Lebanon and after the first intefadah.
They have taken further steps in recent days, and vacations are becoming a lot more difficult for IDF soldiers, worldwide. They can use our help. Please join me in making a contribution. https://buy.stripe.com/cN228hbY5g7jaM84gg
The Iranian state’s job is to act in the interests of its own people. Given that both Israel and the United States are completely unhinged, amoral entities, capable of doing anything given the opportunity or provocation, Iran is acting as it must, perhaps biding its time while preparing for the inevitable.
A few comments:
I take your point that Israel is getting away with genocide, so it's hard to argue that they're "collapsing". But I think the argument your detractors are making is that their mask of civility and liberalism is gone -- a mask that they have invested heavily in maintaining over the decades. It could very well be the catalyst that ultimately leads to their collapse, though things are bleak at the moment.
Whether Iran had launched "True Promise" in May or in April, I don't think it would have made a difference in whether the $26 billion package passed. Congress had been whipped up into a frenzy of pro-Israel zeolotry so that would have likely passed regardless.
"True Promise 1", if I'm not mistaken, included the use of several hypersonic missiles. "True Promise 2" was mostly, if not exclusively, hypersonic missiles.
Do you have any analysis of the Raisi helicopter crash (assassination) and how that may have factored in to Iranian calculations?
WRT Israel's nukes, I agree with you 100%. A state openly commiting genocide in front of the world with zero restraint would have no hesitation about using nuclear weapons. In fact, they may already have. Have you looked through the claims of @Ben68638515. He is arguing that the attack on Tartus is characteristic of a small nuclear bomb.
Thanks. To the extent that the mask is off for Israel, it's the result of protests, media, education and legal efforts like the South Africa case. Not bc of rhetoric or action from Iran. I do think I've heard this "mask is off" stuff before, after invasions of Lebanon and after the first intefadah.
The Hind Rajab Foundation has, among other things, filed a case with the ICC against 1,000 Israeli soldiers for war crimes in Gaza.
https://www.hindrajabfoundation.org/perpetrators/hind-rajab-foundation-files-historic-icc-complaint-against-1000-israeli-soldiers-for-war-crimes-in-gaza
They have taken further steps in recent days, and vacations are becoming a lot more difficult for IDF soldiers, worldwide. They can use our help. Please join me in making a contribution. https://buy.stripe.com/cN228hbY5g7jaM84gg
That's good, but I'm more concerned with the higher ups.
The Iranian state’s job is to act in the interests of its own people. Given that both Israel and the United States are completely unhinged, amoral entities, capable of doing anything given the opportunity or provocation, Iran is acting as it must, perhaps biding its time while preparing for the inevitable.
And?